Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.333777 0.359712 0.387486 0.419578 0.455807 0.495640 0.543023
2025-02-02 0.293451 0.333499 0.380037 0.438882 0.512447 0.602992 0.725542
2025-02-09 0.258406 0.305000 0.362474 0.440367 0.546180 0.689841 0.909392
2025-02-16 0.229160 0.277889 0.340662 0.430313 0.560367 0.752018 1.078620
2025-02-23 0.210452 0.261065 0.328724 0.429914 0.585785 0.834251 1.307724
2025-03-02 0.193477 0.244225 0.314045 0.422375 0.597698 0.896706 1.527998
2025-03-09 0.179176 0.229417 0.300199 0.413475 0.604819 0.951601 1.759096
2025-03-16 0.167480 0.217102 0.288475 0.405888 0.612106 1.007900 2.024371
2025-03-23 0.161617 0.212541 0.287598 0.415223 0.650405 1.136154 2.562981
2025-03-30 0.153026 0.203239 0.278507 0.409499 0.659380 1.204586 2.988535
2025-04-06 0.142600 0.190488 0.262987 0.390914 0.640098 1.202596 3.177670
2025-04-13 0.133301 0.178913 0.248532 0.372796 0.619133 1.191632 3.332185
2025-04-20 0.129201 0.175323 0.247072 0.378641 0.650661 1.329897 4.327266
2025-04-27 0.127630 0.175625 0.252132 0.397473 0.715459 1.594414 6.657432
2025-05-04 0.123133 0.171018 0.248609 0.399608 0.743369 1.767739 9.180463
2025-05-11 0.117293 0.163900 0.240240 0.391208 0.744311 1.853796 11.481372
2025-05-18 0.113252 0.159455 0.236162 0.390973 0.765883 2.030304 16.509651
2025-05-25 0.108601 0.153744 0.229428 0.384467 0.769803 2.142554 22.336438
2025-06-01 0.104138 0.148115 0.222464 0.376741 0.769000 2.237258 30.315640
2025-06-08 0.100169 0.143115 0.216316 0.370139 0.770180 2.345266 43.694900
2025-06-15 0.098492 0.141870 0.216906 0.378270 0.815967 2.717710 119.586990
2025-06-22 0.095214 0.137739 0.211875 0.373288 0.821298 2.880436 272.799084
2025-06-29 0.090712 0.131337 0.202268 0.357078 0.788716 2.795236 323.707895